Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 111903
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1103 AM PST Mon Dec 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure through mid week with a dry and warmer
period. Expecting a pattern change late next week with increasing
clouds and even a slight chance for some showers over northern
Nevada.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday.

Strong dry ridge over the Great Basin keeping valley inversions
in place. Cold in the valleys, slightly warmer mid-slopes. Weak
warming trend through the period.

.LONG TERM...Thursday night through next Monday.

The models are in good agreement throughout the long term period.
Not great, just good. It will remain dry all around through
Thursday night at least. High pressure will maintain strength
while centered way out in the Pacific. In fact, latest forecast
model runs are inferring that the ridge axis will remain off the
coast, far enough to allow a Jackpot clipper to cut through
northeast Nevada on Friday, followed by several days of a dirty
northwest flow aloft that could bring some shower activity to
northeast Elko County over the weekend. However this is where some
model discrepancy works its way into the equation. At this
juncture it may be best to address it by adding some slight
chances for precipitation to the mountainous terrain of Elko
County.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected at KWMC KEKO KELY and KTPH
through Tuesday afternoon with some scattered high clouds
expected.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

98/92/92


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