Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 232106

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
206 PM PDT Sat Jul 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and hot conditions will persist across the state
through the weekend and well into next week. High temperatures
will slowly climb through the middle of next week as high pressure
builds over the region with upper 90s and lower 100s for highs in
valley locations. Winds will be relatively light through the next
few days from the west-southwest.


.SHORT TERM...A typical late July pattern of dry and hot
conditions will continue through the weekend and into next week.
A weak upper-level disturbance will pass over the region but its
impact will be minimal due to a lack of moisture and weak forcing.
High temperatures could approach heat advisory thresholds as
early as Tuesday across central and northern Nevada. Highs will be
in the upper 90s and lower 100s in many valleys across the state.

Monday night through next Saturday. Models in pretty good agreement
series of weak short waves flattening the southwest ridge through
the period. Moisture trajectories are not favorable for a monsoon
set up, but late Monday night creeps into southeast White Pine
County but left pops too low for weather. Increase in clouds will
be the main effect. A dry and hot period ensues, and then next
weekend more moisture invades central Nevada with a band of
thunderstorms, some wet, some dry extending mainly across White
Pine, northern Nye, and southern Eureka and Lander Counties. There
is an outside chance for  some heat advisory action mid week.
Also, very low humidity will enhance fire weather issues.


.AVIATION...Through Sunday afternoon, VFR conditions at KWMC,
KELY, KEKO, and KTPH. West to northwest winds will gust to near 20
knots at all sites Saturday afternoon. Winds will be more variable
and lighter Sunday afternoon. High density altitudes at all sites
Saturday, and increasing slightly Sunday afternoon.


Very low daytime relative humidities will exist for the next few
Days across Nevada with poor nighttime recoveries across many
Locations. However....Winds will remain rather light today
picking up some across fire zones 457 and 455 Sunday afternoon
but remaining below critical fire weather thresholds. Atmospheric
moisture is expected to increase late next week which may aid in
dry thunderstorm development across southern and central parts of
the state.




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