Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 070417
AFDTWC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
915 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR INTO NEXT WEEK. A DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A
FEW MOUNTAIN SHOWERS EAST OF TUCSON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH A FEW SITES CONTINUE TO HAVE E-SE GUSTS IN
THE 20-30 MPH AT PRESS TIME...WIND SPEEDS OVERALL WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS EVENING SHOWED A
WEAK UPPER LOW OVER NRN BAJA WITH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING NE
ACROSS COCHISE COUNTY. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A FEW MID LEVEL CLOUDS DEVELOPED S-SW OF
TUCSON. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED WEAK UPPER LOW AS IT MOVES INTO
AND THRU SRN AZ. WE CURRENTLY HAVE LOW END POPS IN THE MOUNTAINS FOR
SAT AFTN/EVE AND THAT LOOKS OK AT THIS TIME. ON THE EVENING UPDATE
ADDED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN. LITTLE PRECIP AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 08/00Z.
HIGH CLOUDS SE OF KTUS OTHERWISE CLEAR TONIGHT...THEN A FEW-SCTD
CLOUDS AT OR ABOVE 10K FT AGL SATURDAY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. A
FEW -SHRA/TS MAY OCCUR NEAR THE MOUNTAINS EAST OF KTUS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. SFC WIND ELY/SELY AT 5-15 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EASTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
FOLLOWED BY NORMAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS NEXT WEEK. OTHERWISE...EXPECT
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE EXCEPTION WILL OCCUR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHEN
A FEW SHOWERS MAY PREVAIL ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF TUCSON.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

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