Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 130444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130444
INZ000-ILZ000-130515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1352
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...N IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 412...

VALID 130444Z - 130515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 412 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK HAS BECOME QUITE MARGINAL WITHIN MUCH OF WW
412...AND WW MAY BE LOCALLY CANCELLED PRIOR TO 06Z SCHEDULED
EXPIRATION.

DISCUSSION...DECAYED MCS HAS EVOLVED INTO LARGELY STRATIFORM RAIN
ACROSS MOST OF N IL. TSTM REDEVELOPMENT HAS OCCURRED BEHIND THE
SURFACE FRONT ALONG THE MO/IA BORDER INTO NW IL. GIVEN VEERED
SURFACE/LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN AREA VWP DATA...IT APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT
THIS ACTIVITY WOULD INTENSIFY TO AN ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK /BEYOND A
LOCALIZED DOWNBURST/ WITHIN A PROBABLE MOIST-ADIABATIC THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT.

..GRAMS.. 07/13/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON   41708818 41588752 41268776 40928883 40948912 41598909
            41698884 41708818



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