Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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285 FXUS64 KTSA 092306 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 606 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Late afternoon into tonight) Issued at 204 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Scattered showers/storms have developed this afternoon from south-central Oklahoma into north Texas north of a quasi-stationary boundary across north Texas as a mid-level shortwave traverses the area. This activity is expected to be be sustained as it moves into southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas later this afternoon/evening with MUCAPE of 1000-2000 J/KG and adequate deep layer shear across that area. Some of the storms could become severe across far southeast Oklahoma with large hail and damaging winds the concern. This activity is expected to exit the area by mid evening. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Thursday) Issued at 204 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Quiet weather is anticipated Friday and Saturday as high pressure prevails at the surface and aloft. The chances of showers/storms return Sunday night into Monday night as an upper level low moves out of the Rockies and across the Plains. Additional showers and storms are possible Wednesday night into Thursday as another upper level system impacts the area. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 606 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 VFR conditions will prevail thru the period. Mid and high cloud will clear out by this evening. Some few to sct mid cloud could reappear tomorrow afternoon, but no aviation impact is expected. Lacy && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 53 76 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 FSM 57 78 54 82 / 20 0 0 0 MLC 57 78 54 82 / 20 0 0 0 BVO 49 76 50 81 / 0 0 0 0 FYV 51 74 50 79 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 51 71 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 52 74 52 79 / 10 0 0 0 MIO 50 72 51 78 / 0 0 0 0 F10 54 75 54 80 / 10 0 0 0 HHW 59 78 54 79 / 20 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...10 LONG TERM....10 AVIATION...30