Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 222200

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
300 PM PDT Mon May 22 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Quiet, sunny, and warm weather expected to continue
through Tuesday. A slow moving upper level trough will begin to
swing through for Wednesday dragging a cold front across the CWA.
This front will bring chances for rain and isolated storms as well
as a cool down into the end of the week. Chances for showers and
isolated storms look to last into Friday for northeastern Nevada.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday. This afternoon many
locations are enjoying temperatures in the 70s with a few areas
hitting the 80s with sunny skies as high pressure has moved into
the region. This scenario will continue to play out for Tuesday as
high pressure remains in control with even warmer temperatures

Wednesday through Thursday. Like all good things however, this
nice weather will come to an end as the next trough moves in from
the north and northwest Wednesday afternoon. Models continue to
show good agreement on a cold front moving through the area with
enough instability for some isolated storms. As of now, the
associated short wave does not look particularly strong and any
thunderstorms should stay sub-severe. This trough will sluggishly
continue southeast through Thursday with lesser chances for
showers and possibly an isolated storm or two. Expect high
temperatures from Wednesday into Thursday to fall by about 10
degrees returning closer to normal.

.LONG TERM...Thursday night through Monday. Southern portion of
upper trough over northern NV Thursday night through Friday for
the possibility of a few showers and thunderstorms mainly in the
far northeast portion of the state. By Saturday this upper trough
will have moved east and replaced with upper level ridge building
into the area for dry and warmer weather through Monday. Near
normal high temperatures on Friday will rise to about 10 degrees
above normal by Monday.


.AVIATION...VFR conditions all terminals next 24 hours with winds
mostly under 10 kts.


.HYDROLOGY...The lower Humboldt River from Battle Mountain
downstream past Winnemucca will remain in minor to moderate flood
stage for the foreseeable future. Water levels are running high on
many other creeks and streams. Warmer temperatures this week will
increase high elevation snowmelt and runoff.




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