Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 030059
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
159 PM SST MON MAR 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A SURFACE TROUGH AXIS NEAR THE
SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL ENHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSTMS
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A SURFACE RIDGE FROM THE NORTH WILL SUPPRESS
THE EXISTING TROUGH TO MOVE SOUTHWARD DURING WEDNESDAY. THEREFORE...
ANTICIPATE GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS TO BECOME VARIABLE UP
TO 10 KT STARTING WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...
.THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. HOWEVER...PAST
NUMERICAL MODELS SUGGEST MINIMAL SHOWER COVERAGE AS VARIABLE WINDS
UP TO 10 KT PERSIST INTO THE NEW WEEK. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP THE PREV
FCST THE SAME. WILL PROVIDE UPDATES AS NEW MODEL-RUNS BECOME AVAILABLE.

&&

.MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FT WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NONE.

&&

$$

BAQUI








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