Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 300018
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
818 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

.UPDATE...
Showers with isolated thunderstorms continue to move inland from
the Gulf this evening. Coverage has expanded in area quite a bit
over the last few hours. Have adjusted PoPs upwards to mention
numerous showers/isolated thunderstorms through late this
evening. Expecting activity to slower taper off in a few hours
before re-development over the warm Gulf waters remains possible.
Similar weather expected across central and southern zones
tomorrow while slightly drier air in the wake of a frontal
boundary spreads in across parts of the Nature Coast keeping those
area mostly dry. Overnight lows in the low to mid 70s expected
with upper 60s likely across the Nature Coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR generally expected outside of showers/tstms. Will maintain
prevailing VFR with moist onshore flow pushing VCNTY SHRA and TSRA on
the Gulf across the terminals through late tonight and into Friday with
a brief let up likely overnight. Some fog will be possible at LAL
overnight. Westerly flow continues into the day tomorrow with
similar conditions expected at TAF sites.

&&

.MARINE...
Westerly winds continue for the next day or so but then shift to
northeast and east...as a frontal boundary washes out over the
northern waters FRI and high pressure initially across south FL
lifts north in response to tropical system Matthew tracking north
over Cuba and/or the eastern Bahamas. Wind speeds are expected to
be no more than 15 knots with the main hazard higher winds and
seas in the vicinity of thunderstorms.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  76  86  74  88 /  50  40  20  40
FMY  74  88  73  90 /  30  30  30  50
GIF  73  88  72  90 /  30  50  20  50
SRQ  76  86  74  88 /  70  30  20  40
BKV  71  87  69  89 /  40  40  20  40
SPG  77  86  76  87 /  70  30  20  30

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Saturday evening for
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...11/McKaughan



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