Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 150124
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
924 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS STRUNG OUT ALONG THE GULF COAST
FROM TX TO ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. HIGH PRESSURE
IN THE OPEN ATLANTIC ALONG LATITUDE 30 RIDGED WEST ACROSS FL TO
THE CENTRAL GULF WATERS...WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE
WESTERN GULF.

THE LIMITED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE IN THE
PROCESS OF EXITING LAND BUT ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON GULF
WATERS OVERNIGHT. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECASTS TO REFLECT THE SHOWERS
AND STORMS...ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED CLOUDINESS...CLEARING FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH AND ENDING AROUND MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES AND WINDS LOOK
FINE AS THEY ARE.

.AVIATION...
15/00Z-16/00Z. PREVAILING VFR INTO MON MORNING WITH LIGHT MOSTLY
VARIABLE WINDS. EXPECT VCNTY TSRA STARTING LATE MORNING IN THE
SOUTH AND EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE NORTH. WINDS PICK UP SLIGHTLY FROM
THE EAST AND SE IN THE MORNING THEN SHIFT TO WESTERLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE STATE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
TONIGHT THEN SLIP SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH TUESDAY. A WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE NORTHEAST GULF TUESDAY NIGHT THEN MOVE
VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WATERS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
SEAS MAY BE AS HIGH AS 3 FEET WELL OFFSHORE LATER TODAY...BUT THE
OVERALL TREND WILL BE FOR DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE RIDGE SETTLES IN OVER FLORIDA. THE ONLY
HAZARDS EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  91  77  90 /  20  50  30  50
FMY  74  94  75  92 /  10  60  30  50
GIF  73  93  74  91 /  20  50  30  50
SRQ  74  89  76  89 /  10  40  30  50
BKV  71  92  71  92 /  20  50  40  60
SPG  78  91  78  89 /  20  40  30  50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...09/RUDE
MARINE...74/WYNN










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