National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorm, Flooding, and Winter Weather Threats on Tuesday

Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast Tuesday from the southern Plains into the southern Great Lakes vicinity. Thunderstorms may also produce heavy to excessive rain that could pose a flooding threat from central Texas into southern Oklahoma and northern Missouri into southern Michigan. A heavy wintry mix is forecast for the Great Lakes into northern Maine. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Kahului, Kahului Airport (PHOG)

Lat: 20.89°NLon: 156.44°WElev: 52ft.

Fair

73°F

23°C

Humidity 76%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.91 in (1013.3 mb)
Dewpoint 65°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 9 Mar 8:54 pm HST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ESE Wailea-Makena HI

Flood Watch March 11, 06:00am until March 14, 06:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Isolated showers. Widespread haze. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Breezy, with an east wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Isolated
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Isolated showers. Widespread haze before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 74 °F

    Isolated
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. East southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Scattered
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. South southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 74 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 60 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 73. South southwest wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 73 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 61. South wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 73. Windy, with a south wind 14 to 19 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 73 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Windy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 60. Very windy, with a south wind 25 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Very
    Windy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Isolated showers. Widespread haze. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Breezy, with an east wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
Isolated showers. Widespread haze before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Breezy, with an east southeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday Night
Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. East southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. South southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 73. South southwest wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 61. South wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 73. Windy, with a south wind 14 to 19 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Friday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 60. Very windy, with a south wind 25 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 72. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 61. Windy, with a south wind 26 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 72. Windy, with a south southwest wind 17 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Scattered showers. Cloudy, with a low around 61. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. South southwest wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ESE Wailea-Makena HI
 20.62°N 156.36°W (Elev. 2119 ft)
Last Update:
6:02 pm HST Mar 9, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9pm HST Mar 9, 2026-6pm HST Mar 16, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation