National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Significant Severe Weather in the Upper Midwest; Blizzard Conditions in the Cascades; Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms in Hawaii

Significant severe thunderstorms, including the risk for strong to intense tornadoes, are expected across the Upper Midwest this afternoon and evening. An atmospheric river will bring blizzard conditions to the northern Cascades. A powerful Kona storm is expected to impact Hawaii today into Saturday, bringing heavy rainfall and strong winds. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Kahului, Kahului Airport (PHOG)

Lat: 20.89°NLon: 156.44°WElev: 52ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 71%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 29.88 in (1012.3 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Mar 8:54 am HST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles ESE Lahaina HI

Flood Watch March 11, 06:00am until March 14, 06:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch

  • Today

    Today: Isolated showers after 11am. Widespread haze before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 81 °F

    Isolated
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Scattered
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a south wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 80 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 69. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 69 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a south wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 80 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Breezy, with a south southeast wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 69 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Breezy

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 78. Windy, with a south wind 18 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 78 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Windy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Very
    Windy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 79. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 79 °F

    Heavy Rain
    and Very
    Windy

Detailed Forecast

Today
Isolated showers after 11am. Widespread haze before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a south wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a low around 69. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Cloudy, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a south wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Breezy, with a south southeast wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Friday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 78. Windy, with a south wind 18 to 23 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 68. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. High near 79. Very windy, with a south wind 29 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low around 69. Windy, with a south wind 28 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers likely. The rain could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a high near 79. Windy, with a south southwest wind 20 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night
Scattered showers. Cloudy, with a low around 69. Breezy, with a south wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. South wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles ESE Lahaina HI
 20.87°N 156.64°W (Elev. 751 ft)
Last Update:
6:01 am HST Mar 10, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9am HST Mar 10, 2026-6pm HST Mar 16, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation