National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall Possible This Weekend; October Heat Wave in California

A slow moving front will be the focus area for heavy to excessive rainfall and a threat for flash/urban flooding across the northern Gulf Coast and Southeast U.S. through this weekend. Abnormally hot, potentially record-breaking, temperatures will impact southern California and stretch north toward the Bay Area and Central Valley into next week. Read More >

Current conditions at

Falfurrias, Brooks County Airport (KBKS)

Lat: 27.21°NLon: 98.12°WElev: 112ft.

Partly Cloudy

87°F

31°C

Humidity 70%
Wind Speed N 10 mph
Barometer 29.92 in
Dewpoint 77°F (25°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index98°F (37°C)
Last update 3 Oct 12:15 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles W Concepcion TX

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 96. North northeast wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. North wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 84. Heat index values as high as 90. North wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 84 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. North wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. North northeast wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 86 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 69 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 89. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 67. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 67 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 90. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.

    High: 90 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 96. North northeast wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. North wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 84. Heat index values as high as 90. North wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. North wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. North northeast wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 89. North wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 67. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 90. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 68.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles W Concepcion TX
 27.39°N 98.37°W
Last Update:
1:21 am CDT Oct 3, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12pm CDT Oct 3, 2026-6pm CDT Oct 9, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation