Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 170858
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
358 AM CDT Fri Aug 17 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today through Saturday)...

The mid to upper level ridge will continue to hold over South
Texas through the period. GOES total precipitable water image
shows a dry air mass in place with PWAT values from 1.3 to 1.5
inches across the region. This is expected to continue through
Saturday. Low level thermal field not expected to change with high
temperatures near or slightly above the previous day`s reading.
Expect afternoon heat index values will range from 105 to 109
degrees over the coastal plains and in the Laredo area. Could see
slightly higher values near Kingsville for an hour or two. Patchy
fog is expected for inland coastal plains toward daybreak on
Saturday with lows tonight near MOS guidance values.

&&

.LONG TERM (Saturday night through Thursday)...

South Texas will remain under the eastern periphery of the mid/upper
level ridge over the southwest states over the weekend.  An upper
level trough will dig into the Central Plains, gradually moving
eastward early next week.  Still feeling fairly confident that the
associated cold front will remain north of South Texas, stalling
across Central Texas going into the middle of next week.

Over the weekend suppressive conditions and limited moisture will
keep a hot and dry forecast for the region.  Moisture will increase,
mainly across coastal and eastern zones next week, and daily
isolated showers or thunderstorms could fire up across the coastal
waters, Coastal Bend, and Victoria Crossroads, mainly along the
seabreeze.

Hot temperatures will persist over the beginning of next week, and
given the higher dewpoints across the region, SPS Heat Index values
will be reached, feeling like 105 to 109 degrees in the afternoons.
Temperatures will moderate a few degrees lower in the mid week,
though still remain at to slightly above normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    96  77  96  77  94  /  10  10  10  10  10
Victoria          98  76  97  76  96  /  10   0  10  10  10
Laredo           104  77 104  79 104  /   0   0   0   0   0
Alice             99  74 100  75  99  /  10   0  10  10  10
Rockport          92  80  92  81  92  /  10  10  10  10  10
Cotulla          101  75 101  76 102  /   0   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        97  75  98  77  99  /  10   0  10  10  10
Navy Corpus       91  80  91  81  93  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

TMT/89...SHORT TERM
LB/84...LONG TERM


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