Watching Hurricane Erin; Heavy Rainfall Threat for Upper Midwest; Heatrisk for Mississippi Valley

Hurricane Erin continues to track westward with its outer bands bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds for Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are occurring and will spread across the Atlantic coasts this week. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and possible flooding are in the forecast for upper Midwest through Monday. Heatrisk continues for the Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Current conditions at

Tampa, Vandenberg Airport (KVDF)

Lat: 28.02°NLon: 82.34°WElev: 16ft.

Fair

81°F

27°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.97 in
Dewpoint 79°F (26°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index89°F (32°C)
Last update 17 Aug 8:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles WSW East Lake-Orient Park FL

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 93 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Heavy Rain

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 77. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 77 °F

    Heavy Rain
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  High near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 94 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Low around 76. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 76 °F

    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the morning.

    High: 94 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 76. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 76 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 94. North wind 3 to 8 mph.

    High: 94 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 78. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 78 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 94 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 77. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. High near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Low around 76. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 78. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles WSW East Lake-Orient Park FL
 27.96°N 82.43°W (Elev. 20 ft)
6:56 am EDT Aug 17, 2025
8am EDT Aug 17, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database