Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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715
FXUS62 KTBW 191200
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019

.UPDATE...
Latest RAP model maintains a mid level ridge centered over MS/AL
today while surface high pressure along the eastern seaboard
stretches into the eastern half of the Gulf of Mexico. The diffuse
remnants of a frontal boundary slowly dissipates over south-
central FL. The mid level ridge and surface high will keep a deep
north to northeast drying flow in place. However there will be
sufficient moisture for a few showers to drift in from the
Atlantic and also form along the decaying front. Forecasts look
good and do not plan on any updates.

&&

.AVIATION...
19/12Z Issuance. VFR. SCT to OCNL BKN SC plus CI late in the
period. Prevailing NE winds...gusty 15Z-02Z.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure stretching into the Gulf of Mexico will bring
increasing winds...with caution headlines today and an advisory
for the Gulf waters tonight. This high pressure will dominate for
the next few days with robust winds.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  88  72  90  73 /  10   0  20   0
FMY  88  73  88  74 /  20   0  20   0
GIF  88  71  88  73 /  20  10  10   0
SRQ  89  72  90  73 /  10   0  20   0
BKV  88  69  90  70 /  10   0  10   0
SPG  89  73  90  73 /  10   0  20   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Sunday
     for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out
     20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River
     FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...09/Rude
UPPER AIR...25/Davis
DECISION SUPPORT...25/Davis



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