Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 260007

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
807 PM EDT Sat May 25 2019

Dry stable conditions under deep layered ridging over the
area supported another hot dry day with ample sunshine and
a breezy easterly wind flow. Temperatures during the
afternoon climbed into the lower to mid 90s with a new
record high temperature of 96 degrees being set at
Sarasota/Bradenton Airport which broke the old record of 94
set back in 2016. As for the rest of tonight the breezy
easterly wind flow this evening will gradually diminish
overnight with skies remaining mostly clear. Temperatures
will be quite mild with lows in the upper 60s to around 70
over inland areas, and the lower 70s along the coast. On
Sunday another hot dry day with ample sunshine is expected
as strong high pressure remains in control. High temperatures
will again climb into lower to mid 90s along the coast
before the sea breeze kicks in, with mid to upper 90s
inland. Ongoing forecast is in good shape with no changes
or updated required at this time.


VFR is expected at all terminals during the next 24 hours.
Easterly winds in the 12 to 15 knot range with some higher
gusts this evening will diminish to 7 to 9 knots after 03Z
then increasing again after 15Z on Sunday, with winds turning
to the west-northwest at the coastal sites after 19Z as the
west coast sea breeze develops.


High pressure from the Atlantic extending west-southwest
across the northern peninsula will maintain a predominant
easterly wind flow across the Gulf waters for the next
several days. As was the case the last few days the easterly
surge will support winds in the Cautionary range through
mid to late evening over the central and southern near/offshore
waters before gradually diminishing overnight into early
Sunday morning. With a slightly weaker easterly flow expected
on Sunday, the sea breeze component will likely shift winds
to the west and northwest along the coast during Sunday
afternoon with similar conditions expected into the Memorial
Day Holiday. Current forecast is on track with no changes
expected in the next update around 9 PM.


Gulf waters...None.


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