National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Erin Strengthens to a Hurricane; Heavy Rainfall Possible in Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Upper Midwest, South Texas

Hurricane Erin may bring isolated flash and urban flooding, landslides or mudslides, and possible tropical storm conditions to Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands this weekend. Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rainfall may bring areas of flooding this weekend over the Upper Midwest. A tropical disturbance will bring locally heavy rain and mainly urban flash flooding to far southern Texas. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Tampa, Tampa International Airport (KTPA)

Lat: 27.96°NLon: 82.54°WElev: 26ft.

A Few Clouds

92°F

33°C

Humidity 62%
Wind Speed N 5 mph
Barometer 30.06 in (1017.8 mb)
Dewpoint 77°F (25°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index106°F (41°C)
Last update 16 Aug 10:53 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

Carrollwood FL

Heat Advisory until August 16, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory
  •  
    Heat Advisory until August 16, 07:00pm

    NOW until 7:00pm Sat

    Heat Advisory

  • Today

    High: 94 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 77 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 93. Heat index values as high as 104. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 93 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 77. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 77 °F

    T-storms then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Monday

    Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 94. Calm wind becoming east northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 94 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 75. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 75 °F

    T-storms then
    Isolated
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. North northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 94 °F

    Isolated
    T-storms then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 75. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 75 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 107. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 77. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 93. Heat index values as high as 104. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 77. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 94. Calm wind becoming east northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 75. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. North northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 75. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. North wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 94. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Carrollwood FL
 28.06°N 82.5°W (Elev. 30 ft)
Last Update:
8:57 am EDT Aug 16, 2025
Forecast Valid:
11am EDT Aug 16, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 22, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation