Watching Hurricane Erin; Heavy Rainfall Threat for Upper Midwest; Heatrisk for Mississippi Valley

Hurricane Erin continues to track westward with its outer bands bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds for Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands. Life-threatening surf and rip currents are occurring and will spread across the Atlantic coasts this week. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and possible flooding are in the forecast for upper Midwest through Monday. Heatrisk continues for the Mississippi Valley. Read More >

Current conditions at

Tampa, Vandenberg Airport (KVDF)

Lat: 28.02°NLon: 82.34°WElev: 16ft.

Fair

88°F

31°C

Humidity 75%
Wind Speed SW 3 mph
Barometer 29.96 in
Dewpoint 79°F (26°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index103°F (39°C)
Last update 17 Aug 10:15 am EDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NE Lutz FL

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    High: 92 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 75. Light north northeast wind.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 75 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 94 °F

    Sunny then
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Low around 75. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 75 °F

    T-storms then
    Isolated
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 95 °F

    Isolated
    T-storms then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 75. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 75 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 94. North wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 94 °F

    Isolated
    T-storms then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 76 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm.  Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 94 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 75. Light north northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms between noon and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 75. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny and hot, with a high near 95. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 75. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. North wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NE Lutz FL
 28.17°N 82.44°W (Elev. 59 ft)
8:56 am EDT Aug 17, 2025
10am EDT Aug 17, 2025-6pm EDT Aug 23, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database