National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding from the Southern Plains to the Great Lakes; Record Heat in the East

Widely scattered severe thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, hail, and flash flooding from the southern Plains into the lower Great Lakes. Elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions will persist across portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains due to gusty winds and dry conditions. An early-season heatwave will challenge temperature records across the eastern U.S.. Read More >

Current conditions at

Victoria, Victoria Regional Airport (KVCT)

Lat: 28.86°NLon: 96.93°WElev: 115ft.

Fair

89°F

32°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed S 20 G 29 mph
Barometer 29.96 in (1014.2 mb)
Dewpoint 71°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index95°F (35°C)
Last update 19 May 1:51 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Victoria TX

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 102. South southeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 90 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

    Low: 73 °F

    Heavy Rain

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before noon. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Heat index values as high as 94. East northeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 86 °F

    Heavy Rain
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Mostly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 83. Light east southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 83 °F

    Showers then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Light south southeast wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 86 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 72 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 84. South southeast wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 84 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 102. South southeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 4am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4am and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. East wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before noon. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Heat index values as high as 94. East northeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 1pm and 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. High near 83. Light east southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
A chance of showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Light south southeast wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 84. South southeast wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 83. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70.
Memorial Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Victoria TX
 28.8°N 97°W
Last Update:
1:51 pm CDT May 19, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2pm CDT May 19, 2026-6pm CDT May 25, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation