National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Alexandria Esler Regional Airport (KESF)

Lat: 31.4°NLon: 92.28°WElev: 85ft.

N/A

Humidity NA
Wind Speed NA
Barometer NA
Dewpoint N/A
Visibility NA
Last update *** Not a current observation ***
Extended Forecast for

Ball LA

Flood Watch June 17, 07:58am until June 18, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch June 17, 07:58am until June 18, 07:00pm

    NOW until 7:00pm Thu

    Flood Watch

  • Today

    High: 85 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light east. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 91 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 77 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 92 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 90 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 76 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 4pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light east. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 96.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 76.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Ball LA
 31.41°N 92.42°W
Last Update:
7:46 am CDT Jun 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
7am CDT Jun 17, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation