National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Natchitoches, Natchitoches Regional Airport (KIER)

Lat: 31.74°NLon: 93.1°WElev: 121ft.

Fair

74°F

23°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.83 in
Dewpoint 74°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 11:35 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SSE Melrose LA

Flood Watch June 16, 11:46pm until June 18, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch June 16, 11:46pm until June 18, 07:00pm

    NOW until 7:00pm Thu

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 72 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light southeast wind becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 91 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 77 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 92 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 91 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind.
Wednesday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Light southeast wind becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 4pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 10pm, then a slight chance of showers between 10pm and 4am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Juneteenth
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Monday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 77.
Tuesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SSE Melrose LA
 31.55°N 92.95°W (Elev. 102 ft)
Last Update:
6:31 pm CDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
11pm CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation