Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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386
FXUS64 KSHV 231932
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
232 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019

.SHORT TERM.../Tonight through Friday Night/

Our region remains under the influence of the upper ridge
anchored over the sern CONUS, despite the amplified trof over the
wrn CONUS. This overall pattern is not fcst to change through the
end of this work week. Daytime max/overnight min temps will
continue to remain above normal, and dew points in the 70s will
make for a muggy experience of these temps. /12/

.LONG TERM.../Saturday through Thursday/

Upper ridging pattern centered near AL/GA will gradually shift wwd,
with resulting temps either side of 90 and overnight lows either
side of 70, remaining persistent with a possible degree or two climb
thru the Holiday wknd. Eastern portions of cwa, closer to the ridge,
could creep up to mid 90s late in wknd. Airmass thru Memorial Day
will likely remain too dry and stable for any convection despite an
uptick in sfc humidity and a southerly breeze.

Mean troughing over western conus will begin to shift into the
plains by around Tuesday with a cold front isold to low end chances
for convection back to the region beginning on Tuesday and
continuing through at least Thursday. The 12z extended model runs
have come into increasing agreement regarding these features. All
said, little change in temps, aside from highs only reaching mid
to upper 80s where aftn convection is more prevalent. /07/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1210 PM CDT Thu May 23 2019/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail through the remainder of today and into
tonight, before MVFR stratus develops at most terminals between
08-13Z. Cigs will lift/scatter by mid to late morning Friday.
Otherwise, s to sely winds around 10 to 12 kts will decrease after
sunset to around 5 kts at most sites. Winds to increase again
Friday to near 10 kts after sunrise. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  91  72  92 /   0  10   0   0
MLU  72  91  72  93 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  71  90  70  88 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  71  89  71  89 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  72  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  73  90  72  90 /   0  10   0   0
GGG  73  91  72  90 /   0  10   0   0
LFK  74  91  73  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/07



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