889
FXUS64 KSHV 132326
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
626 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

 - Showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
   across much of the ArkLaTex.

 - There will be a chance for more needed widespread rainfall
   during midweek and along the cold front arriving on Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1137 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Surface high across the northeast gulf and a low across the
Central Plains will maintain an increased pressure gradient
across the ArkLaTex today allowing for southwest winds from 10 to
15 mph this afternoon. Southwest flow at all levels will maintain
continued Pacific moisture advection allowing for mostly cloudy
skies areawide. A decaying convective complex translating
northeast across north Louisiana will serve as the catalyst for
convection later today across much of the ArkLaTex. Precipitation
to diminish this evening with lingering cloud-cover to persist
overnight with temperatures forecast to fall into the mid 60s.

Overall pattern to remain nearly unchanged through Tuesday. With
limited low-level forcing to ignite convection, most of the region
to remain precipitation free throughout the day. Highs are
forecast to climb into the 80s with portions of northeast
Louisiana possibly approaching 90 degrees.

An upper-low will swing east across the Midwest on Wednesday
evening. Convergence ahead of the trough will enhance the mid-
level jet above an already moist and unstable airmass in the
vicinity of a weak surface low across Oklahoma. Showers and
thunderstorms ongoing across central Oklahoma on Wednesday morning
to swing east across the I-30 corridor during the day. Some
storms could possibly produce strong gusty winds and small hail
during the time of peak heating.

Next impactful weather event will occur late Friday night into
Saturday as a frontal boundary moves southeast across the region.
Widespread rainfall can be expected through much of Saturday
across the ArkLaTex. High pressure building behind the front will
allow for an overall shift in the weather pattern with dry
conditions to prevail through the remainder of the weekend into
Monday along with much cooler temperatures ranging from highs in
the 70s and lows in the 40s and 50s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

For the 14/00Z TAFs, very isolated remnants of early evening
showers are dissipating at this hour, with BKN and SCT lower VFR
CIGs improving somewhat, giving way to a mix of mid to high level
clouds which which will persist through much of the night. As
daybreak approaches, another round of MVFR and IFR CIGs will
descend on area terminals, gradually lifting and breaking into
the day tomorrow. South winds will continue throughout at maximum
sustained speeds of 7 to 12 kts, with gusts of up to 20 kts
possible.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Mon Apr 13 2026

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight.

/15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  86  65  86 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  65  88  63  88 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  62  82  62  80 /  10  10  20  40
TXK  67  86  66  85 /  10   0   0  20
ELD  63  86  61  85 /  10   0   0  10
TYR  68  84  67  84 /   0  10   0  20
GGG  66  84  66  84 /  10   0   0  10
LFK  66  85  66  85 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...26