National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Across South Texas; Heat in the West

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of South Texas, the western Gulf Coast, and Lower Mississippi River Valley through Thursday. Hot temperatures will persist over central and northern California and the Pacific Northwest through today. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Natchitoches, Natchitoches Regional Airport (KIER)

Lat: 31.74°NLon: 93.1°WElev: 121ft.

Overcast

73°F

23°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.89 in
Dewpoint 73°F (23°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 3:35 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

Provencal LA

Flood Watch June 16, 03:54am until June 16, 07:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch June 16, 03:54am until June 16, 07:00pm

    NOW until 7:00pm Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 72 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. High near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    High: 84 °F

    Showers then
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 72 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 102. Light southeast wind becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the morning.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.

    Low: 76 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 89 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.

    Low: 75 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 89 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4am. Low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. High near 84. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Heat index values as high as 102. Light southeast wind becoming south 10 to 15 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light after midnight.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Juneteenth
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.
Monday
Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 95.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Provencal LA
 31.65°N 93.21°W (Elev. 200 ft)
Last Update:
1:25 am CDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation