National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Carlsbad, Cavern City Air Terminal Airport (KCNM)

Lat: 32.34°NLon: 104.26°WElev: 3294ft.

Fair

93°F

34°C

Humidity 37%
Wind Speed S 14 mph
Barometer 29.87 in (1005.2 mb)
Dewpoint 63°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index94°F (34°C)
Last update 16 Jun 2:53 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Carlsbad NM

Heat Advisory June 17, 11:00am until June 17, 09:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 99. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 99 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 68. South wind 5 to 15 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Decreasing
    Clouds

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 108. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 108 °F

    Hot

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 77. West wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

    Low: 77 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 104. West wind 15 to 25 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    High: 104 °F

    Hot

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.

    Low: 69 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.

    High: 95 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.

    Low: 68 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 100.

    High: 100 °F

    Hot

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Mostly sunny, with a high near 99. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 68. South wind 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 108. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 77. West wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 104. West wind 15 to 25 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.
Juneteenth
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 95.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.
Saturday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 100.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Sunday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 106.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 106.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Carlsbad NM
 32.35°N 104.18°W (Elev. 3114 ft)
Last Update:
12:36 pm MDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3pm MDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm MDT Jun 22, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation