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000
FXUS64 KMAF 190816
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
216 AM CST Mon Nov 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure across the southern plains and Mississippi
valley will be the dominant influence through Tuesday providing a
dry but cool period with below normal temperatures.

By Tuesday night and Wednesday a quick moving southern stream
trough and upper jet is forecast to track from New Mexico into
the Texas panhandle. Guidance is indicating that there will be
enough lift with this system to generate a chance of showers
across southeast New Mexico and much of west Texas (except the Big
Bend). Will mention isolated thunderstorms as well due to steep
mid level lapse rates expected with approach and passage of the
upper level system.

Some warming with temperatures near normal is expected Thursday
and Friday with the approach and passage of another quick moving
southern stream system moving across the central and southern
plains. It looks like the core of this system will pass further
north than the previous one so will not mention any precipitation
at this time.

Dry with above normal temperatures is anticipated Saturday ahead
of the next Pacific system. The associated dry cold front will
swing through the forecast area by Sunday bringing below normal
temperatures to the forecast area next Sunday and Monday.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  33  58  38 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       62  33  53  38 /   0   0   0  20
Dryden                         63  43  58  43 /   0  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  62  39  55  41 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 58  36  48  38 /   0   0   0  30
Hobbs                          59  29  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          64  34  52  35 /   0   0  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           60  35  56  39 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         60  35  55  39 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           61  34  56  39 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

72/12