Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 190538
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1138 PM CST Sun Nov 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CIGs have been very stubborn to leave MAF/FST
tonight, but VFR conditions should finally arrive
by 12Z and remain through the remainder of the TAF
period. Light winds will continue the next 24
hours.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 220 PM CST Sun Nov 18 2018/

DISCUSSION...As of 1:45 PM CST Sunday...it`s been a cloudy cool
day across most of the CWA with temperatures mainly in the 40s.
The GOES-16 RGB Visible imagery is capable in discerning both ice
filled clouds and low level water clouds (pretty cool stuff!). The
Visible imagery is showing scattered mid/high clouds streaming
overhead. What`s really interesting are the low clouds banked up
against the mountains...basically from the Davis Mountains to the
Sacramento Mountains in NM...and north along the Southern Rockies
into Southern Colorado.

The low clouds will erode late this aftn/evening leading to a
chilly night with lows near freezing. Sunday thru Tuesday will be
nice days with dry conditions as the flow will be more zonal.
Temperatures will be a little below normal (normal for MAF is 64).

A southern stream shortwave will move across New Mexico and Texas
Tuesday night and Wednesday. Not much moisture will be associated
with this system. The ECMWF is a little further south with this
wave than the NAM12 and GFS...therefore it is a little wetter.
Have covered this with a slight chance of showers Tuesday night
in the northwest and a slight chance/chance of showers across the
northern portion of the CWA on Wednesday. Rainfall totals will be
light with this system.

Shortwave ridging will bring dry weather on Thanksgiving with
warmer temperatures. A shortwave will move across New Mexico and
the Texas Panhandle Thanksgiving night but will have little effect
on our weather...except the possibility of gusty winds thru GDP.
Nearly zonal flow will continue the dry weather into next weekend
with temps near normal.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     32  59  34  57 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       30  61  32  56 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         38  62  41  58 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  35  61  39  58 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 34  57  35  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          27  62  28  56 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          31  65  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           34  60  36  58 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         32  60  35  58 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           30  61  34  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$


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