National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms and Flash Flooding for the Central U.S. through Tuesday; Dangerous East Coast Beach Conditions

Thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front will impact much of the Central U.S. through Tuesday. Severe thunderstorms and flash flooding are forecast for portions of the central/southern Plains and the Mississippi, Ohio, and Tennessee Valleys. Meanwhile, dangerous waves and rip currents will impact portions of the East Coast as tropical activity increases in the Atlantic. Read More >

Current conditions at

Socorro Municipal Airport (KONM)

Lat: 34.03°NLon: 106.9°WElev: 4805ft.

Rain

64°F

18°C

Humidity 88%
Wind Speed NW 13 G 24 mph
Barometer 30.06 in
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 22 Sep 4:15 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

26 Miles NNE Monticello NM

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 75. West wind around 10 mph becoming north. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 75 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms
    then Mostly
    Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny then
    Scattered
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind around 10 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind around 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon.

    High: 77 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

    Low: 55 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.

    High: 78 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 75. West wind around 10 mph becoming north. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind around 10 mph.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. North wind around 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 72.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
26 Miles NNE Monticello NM
 33.75°N 107.28°W (Elev. 5853 ft)
Last Update:
2:26 pm MDT Sep 22, 2025
Forecast Valid:
4pm MDT Sep 22, 2025-6pm MDT Sep 29, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation