Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

68°F

20°C

Humidity 49%
Wind Speed E 4 MPH
Barometer 30.05 in (1017.61 mb)
Dewpoint 48°F (9°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 09:35 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

3 Miles SE Tonto Basin AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 11:00am until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  • Today

    Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Southeast wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    High: 86 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 63. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming west in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 74. South wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 74 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 60. South wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 72. South wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 56. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 69. South wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm  in the morning.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Southeast wind 7 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 63. Southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming west in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 74. South wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 60. South wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 72. South wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 56. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 69. South wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the morning.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 79. East wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
3 Miles SE Tonto Basin AZ
 33.94°N 111.32°W (Elev. 2713 ft)
9:12 am MST Oct 10, 2026
9am MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database