Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 211626

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
926 AM MST Wed Nov 21 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry weather with near normal temperatures
across northern Arizona again today. On Thanksgiving Day, a cold
frontal passage will bring a chance of light showers and cooler
temperatures. Another cold front will move through on Saturday.


.UPDATE...It`s a beautiful start to the day, with mostly clear
skies and temperatures warming quickly over N. Arizona. Expect
only a few high clouds today with light winds and high
temperatures near to, or slightly above normal. Current models are
consistent with bringing in light rain or snow showers for
Thanksgiving Day, generally around and north of the Flagstaff
area. Current forecast is on track, with no updates expected at
this time.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z Package...Expect mainly VFR conditions
for the 24 hour forecast period. SW winds increasing aft 15Z
Thursday to 10-15G20-30 kts. Cloud bases 10-15 kft by 15Z will
slowly lower, with showers developing from the west. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...For today, expect light winds and slightly above
normal temperatures under mostly clear skies. On Thursday, a passing
cold front will deliver cooler conditions, breezy southwest winds
and a chance of rain and snow showers.

Friday through Sunday...Expect dry weather and near normal
temperatures on Friday, before another cold front impacts the region
Saturday and Sunday. This mainly dry front will bring a sharp drop
in temperatures and a return of northwest through northeast winds.





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