Heavy Lake Effect Snow Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario; Fire Weather Concerns in the Southern Plains and Southeast

A multi-day heavy lake effect snow event is expected downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario through New Year's Day. There is increasing confidence in snow squalls causing bursts of snow & gusty winds on New Year's Eve. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue today over parts of the Southern Plains and across much of the Southeast U.S. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Clear

37°F

3°C

Humidity 32%
Wind Speed NE 8 MPH
Barometer 30.38 in (1028.79 mb)
Dewpoint 10°F (-12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill31°F (-1°C)
Last update 30 Dec 06:35 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ENE Tonto Basin AZ

  • Today

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning.

    High: 65 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East wind around 6 mph.

    Low: 41 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 66. East wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

    High: 66 °F

    Increasing
    Clouds

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers, mainly after 11pm.  Low around 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 48 °F

    Showers

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers.  High near 59. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers before 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Light and variable wind.

    Low: 44 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 63 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Light and variable wind becoming southeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. East wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday
Increasing clouds, with a high near 66. East wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Showers, mainly after 11pm. Low around 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
New Year's Day
Showers. High near 59. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Light and variable wind.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light northeast wind.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Light and variable wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Light northeast wind.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ENE Tonto Basin AZ
 33.99°N 111.28°W (Elev. 3412 ft)
3:39 am MST Dec 30, 2025
6am MST Dec 30, 2025-6pm MST Jan 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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