National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Central Plains; Active Pattern in the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions to the central and southern Plains today into Wednesday. Use caution with any potential ignition sources. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Overcast

41°F

5°C

Humidity 70%
Wind Speed SSW 8 MPH
Barometer 30.08 in (1018.63 mb)
Dewpoint 32°F (0°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill36°F (2°C)
Last update 17 Feb 11:55 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles ENE Tonto Basin AZ

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 54 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.

    Low: 39 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 49. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 49 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 35 °F

    Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 36 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. West wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 50 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 5 to 11 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 31 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Wednesday
A chance of showers, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 49. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of rain showers before 11pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 9 mph becoming light. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Thursday
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 50. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. West wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 5 to 11 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind around 7 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind around 7 mph.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles ENE Tonto Basin AZ
 33.99°N 111.28°W (Elev. 3412 ft)
Last Update:
11:57 am MST Feb 17, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12pm MST Feb 17, 2026-6pm MST Feb 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation