Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

70°F

21°C

Humidity 52%
Wind Speed SW 19 MPH
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.89 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 03:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NNW Tonto Basin AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 04:10pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 04:10pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 80 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 62. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  High near 69. South wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 58. South wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 66. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 62. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. High near 69. South wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 58. South wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 66. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable in the morning.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 73. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. Breezy, with a northeast wind 14 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 8 to 18 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NNW Tonto Basin AZ
 34°N 111.36°W (Elev. 3638 ft)
3:13 pm MST Oct 10, 2026
4pm MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database