Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Clear

64°F

18°C

Humidity 59%
Wind Speed ENE 4 MPH
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.93 mb)
Dewpoint 50°F (10°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 07:55 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles NNW Tonto Basin AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 11:00am until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 63. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Steady temperature around 65. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 60. South wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 66. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 66 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 56. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 63. South wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 63 °F

    Showers then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 7 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 49 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm  in the afternoon.

    High: 68 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 80. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 63. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Steady temperature around 65. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 60. South wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 66. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 56. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 63. South wind 7 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 7 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind 11 to 16 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 54. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles NNW Tonto Basin AZ
 34°N 111.36°W (Elev. 3638 ft)
3:13 am MST Oct 10, 2026
8am MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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