Heavy Lake Effect Snow Downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario; Fire Weather Concerns in the Southern Plains and Southeast

A multi-day heavy lake effect snow event is expected downwind of Lakes Erie and Ontario through New Year's Day. There is increasing confidence in snow squalls causing bursts of snow & gusty winds on New Year's Eve. Elevated fire weather conditions will continue today over parts of the Southern Plains and across much of the Southeast U.S. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Clear

55°F

13°C

Humidity 22%
Wind Speed E 3 MPH
Barometer 30.38 in (1028.79 mb)
Dewpoint 17°F (-8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 30 Dec 11:35 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles NW Tonto Basin AZ

  • Today

    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    High: 51 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. East wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. East wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

    High: 53 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers, mainly after 11pm.  Low around 44. East wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers

  • New Year's Day

    New Year's Day: Showers.  High near 50. Southwest wind around 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.

    High: 47 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast in the evening.

    Low: 42 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.

    High: 47 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 51. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. East wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Wednesday
A 20 percent chance of showers after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. East wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Showers, mainly after 11pm. Low around 44. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
New Year's Day
Showers. High near 50. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast in the evening.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. North wind around 6 mph becoming northeast in the evening.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. Northwest wind around 7 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles NW Tonto Basin AZ
 34.06°N 111.45°W (Elev. 6972 ft)
9:28 am MST Dec 30, 2025
11am MST Dec 30, 2025-6pm MST Jan 5, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database