Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

70°F

21°C

Humidity 52%
Wind Speed SW 19 MPH
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.89 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 10 Oct 03:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

10 Miles NW Tonto Basin AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 04:12pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 04:12pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 66 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 55. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 55 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Temperature falling to around 49 by 5pm. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 57 °F⇓

    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 50. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 53. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 53 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 48. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 48 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 42 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 66. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 55. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature falling to around 49 by 5pm. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 50. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 53. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 48. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the morning.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind 7 to 12 mph becoming northeast 13 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 59. Northeast wind 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 47. Breezy, with a northeast wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 60. Northeast wind 15 to 20 mph becoming east 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
10 Miles NW Tonto Basin AZ
 34.06°N 111.45°W (Elev. 6972 ft)
3:13 pm MST Oct 10, 2026
4pm MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database