National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Overcast

55°F

13°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed SSE 8 MPH
Barometer 30.03 in (1016.93 mb)
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Oct 05:35 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 06:06am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 06:06am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Columbus Day

    High: 72 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 69. South wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph after midnight.

    Low: 55 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 55. Light north wind increasing to 12 to 17 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.

    Low: 55 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 79. North wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 60. Northeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 72. South wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 61. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 69. South wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Calm wind becoming north 5 to 7 mph after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 55. Light north wind increasing to 12 to 17 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 79. North wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 60. Northeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Northeast wind 12 to 17 mph becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Friday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Northeast wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Calm wind becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 79. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the morning.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ
 34.08°N 111.73°W (Elev. 2316 ft)
Last Update:
3:13 am MST Oct 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation