Severe Thunderstorms in the Southeast U.S.; Critical Fire Weather in the Central and Southern Plains

Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this afternoon and evening across parts of southern Georgia into north and west-central Florida. Both damaging winds and a few tornadoes may occur. Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring critical fire weather to the central and southern Plains today into Tuesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Clear

54°F

12°C

Humidity 50%
Wind Speed S 5 MPH
Barometer 30.07 in (1018.29 mb)
Dewpoint 35°F (2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Feb 05:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.

    Low: 47 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Washington's Birthday

    Washington's Birthday: Partly sunny, with a high near 69. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south 13 to 18 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.

    High: 69 °F

    Partly Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm.  Low around 47. South wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, mainly before 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 57 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. South wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 55 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.

    Low: 39 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.
Washington's Birthday
Partly sunny, with a high near 69. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south 13 to 18 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Monday Night
Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Low around 47. South wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Tuesday
Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Wednesday
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Thursday
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. South wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Clear, with a low around 42. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ
 34.08°N 111.73°W (Elev. 2316 ft)
4:01 pm MST Feb 15, 2026
5pm MST Feb 15, 2026-6pm MST Feb 22, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database