National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding in the Mid-Atlantic; Heat and Wildfire Concerns in the West

Slow moving showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding for portions of the mid-Atlantic region through tonight. Meanwhile, excessive heat will continue to build across the West through Tuesday. Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warnings are in effect. Fire Weather concerns continue for the West with dry and breezy conditions. Watching the tropics across the Southeast. Read More >

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Clear

86°F

30°C

Humidity 20%
Wind Speed SW 5 MPH
Barometer 30.13 in (1020.32 mb)
Dewpoint 41°F (5°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index83°F (28°C)
Last update 14 Jul 06:55 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. South wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 79 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny, then becoming partly sunny during the afternoon and hot, with a high near 102. South wind 6 to 13 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 102 °F

    Hot

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 79 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    High: 99 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy and hot, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 97 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 79 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 99 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 80 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers between 8pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. South wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
Sunny, then becoming partly sunny during the afternoon and hot, with a high near 102. South wind 6 to 13 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Tuesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 11am and 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy and hot, with a high near 97. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11am. Partly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 100. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 80. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Monday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
22 Miles NNE Carefree AZ
 34.08°N 111.73°W (Elev. 2316 ft)
Last Update:
3:18 pm MST Jul 14, 2025
Forecast Valid:
7pm MST Jul 14, 2025-6pm MST Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Chance of Precipitation