National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Partly Cloudy

57°F

14°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed S 6 MPH
Barometer 30.01 in (1016.26 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 11:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles SSW Payson AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 12:07am until October 12, 05:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 12:07am until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 56 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 62 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 52. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 60. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Light and variable wind becoming west around 5 mph after midnight.

    Low: 45 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.

    High: 64 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 45 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 56. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Columbus Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a high near 62. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 52. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 60. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. Light and variable wind becoming west around 5 mph after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 51. Breezy, with a northeast wind 13 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 9 to 16 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. East wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 68. East wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles SSW Payson AZ
 34.19°N 111.33°W (Elev. 4760 ft)
Last Update:
11:32 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
12am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation