National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Partly Cloudy

63°F

17°C

Humidity 72%
Wind Speed SSW 13 MPH
Barometer 29.94 in (1013.89 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 04:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

15 Miles ENE Payson AZ

Flood Watch October 11, 06:15pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 06:15pm until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
...
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 06:15pm until October 12, 05:00am
    Wind Advisory October 11, 06:15pm until October 11, 08:00pm

    NOW: Multiple hazards in effect

    Click HERE for Details

  • Tonight

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. High near 60. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 60 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8pm. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 49. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 56. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 56 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

    Low: 40 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 62. North wind around 6 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    Low: 39 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    High: 65 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Patchy fog before 2am, then patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. High near 60. South wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8pm. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 49. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 56. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 62. North wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 65. Northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind 3 to 5 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
15 Miles ENE Payson AZ
 34.33°N 111.08°W (Elev. 5709 ft)
Last Update:
3:13 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
6pm MST Oct 11, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation