National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Overcast

55°F

13°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed SSE 5 MPH
Barometer 30.01 in (1016.26 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 12 Oct 03:15 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

15 Miles W Forest Lakes AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 03:38am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 03:38am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 52. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 52 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Steady temperature around 49. South wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 50. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 50 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before 2am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 40 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 53. Light and variable wind. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 53 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    Low: 39 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 53. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

    High: 53 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 50 percent chance of showers. Patchy fog before 5am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Columbus Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 52. South wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Steady temperature around 49. South wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 50. Southwest wind 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of rain showers before 2am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Light and variable wind. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. East wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 43. Light east wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Light and variable wind.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
15 Miles W Forest Lakes AZ
 34.37°N 111.06°W (Elev. 6745 ft)
Last Update:
3:13 am MST Oct 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation