National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Overcast

59°F

15°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed S 6 MPH
Barometer 30.0 in (1015.92 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 08:35 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

11 Miles NNE Payson AZ

Flood Watch October 11, 08:58pm until October 12, 05:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 08:58pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Tonight

    Low: 50 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 61. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 61 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8pm. Patchy fog. Low around 49. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 58. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 58 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.

    Low: 41 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 40. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.

    Low: 40 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 11pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Patchy fog before 8am. High near 61. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 8pm. Patchy fog. Low around 49. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 58. South wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 40. Northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Saturday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 67. East wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 69. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
11 Miles NNE Payson AZ
 34.4°N 111.28°W (Elev. 5515 ft)
Last Update:
7:49 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8pm MST Oct 11, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation