Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Payson Airport (KPAN)

Lat: 34.2568364°NLon: 111.3392558°WElev: 5157.0ft.

Mostly Cloudy

57°F

14°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed S 5 MPH
Barometer 30.01 in (1016.26 mb)
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 11 Oct 11:55 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

12 Miles WNW Forest Lakes AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 12:39am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 12:39am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am.  Patchy fog before 9am.  Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 49. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 49 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm.  Patchy fog. Low around 42. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 42 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of rain showers before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of snow showers after 3am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 36 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 51. Light and variable wind. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 51 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 50. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 50 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 50 percent chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Columbus Day
Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 49. South wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Patchy fog. Low around 42. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of rain showers before midnight, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of snow showers after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 51. Light and variable wind. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 50. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 53. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. East wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. East wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Calm wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
12 Miles WNW Forest Lakes AZ
 34.4°N 111.01°W (Elev. 7510 ft)
11:32 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
12am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database