Heavy Rainfall and Flooding Concerns in the Southwest; Coastal Low to Impact the East Coast

Deep tropical moisture will lead to widespread showers and thunderstorms capable of producing flash flooding through early next week over the Southwest and Four Corners. A coastal storm is expected to develop off the southeast U.S. coast tonight and is expected to strengthen and bring flooding, dangerous rip currents, gusty winds and heavy rain up much of the East Coast through early next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61806°NLon: 111.34222°WElev: 6793.0ft.

NA

56°F

13°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed N 5 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 10:02 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

15 Miles WNW Forest Lakes AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 10:27am until October 12, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 10:27am until October 12, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Sun

    Flood Watch

  • Today

    High: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 51. South wind 5 to 9 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 59. South wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 57 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 64. South wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 51. South wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 59. South wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind around 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Columbus Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tuesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. South wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
15 Miles WNW Forest Lakes AZ
 34.45°N 111.01°W (Elev. 7402 ft)
9:52 am MST Oct 10, 2025
10am MST Oct 10, 2025-6pm MST Oct 16, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database