Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61797°NLon: 111.34239°WElev: 6812.0ft.

NA

52°F

11°C

Humidity 89%
Wind Speed SW 7 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 12 Oct 09:02 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

22 Miles NNE Payson AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 10:13am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 10:13am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Columbus Day

    High: 51 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 42. Southwest wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 42 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, mainly before 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A chance of rain showers before 1am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light west  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Low: 34 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 54. North wind 3 to 7 mph.

    High: 54 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 54 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.

    Low: 38 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 51. South wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 42. Southwest wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A chance of rain showers before 1am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph becoming light west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 54. North wind 3 to 7 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 54. Northeast wind 11 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. East wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northeast in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 56. East wind 3 to 6 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Calm wind.
Sunday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 60. Light and variable wind.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
22 Miles NNE Payson AZ
 34.54°N 111.19°W (Elev. 6827 ft)
9:56 am MST Oct 12, 2026
10am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database