Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61797°NLon: 111.34239°WElev: 6812.0ft.

NA

67°F

19°C

Humidity 51%
Wind Speed SSW 15 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 48°F (9°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 10 Oct 03:02 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

21 Miles N Payson AZ

Flood Watch October 10, 03:21pm until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 10, 03:21pm until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • This Afternoon

    High: 66 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 49. South wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 57. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    High: 57 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 43. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am.  High near 53. South wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 53 °F

    Showers

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then showers likely between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 41 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Southwest wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 49 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 31 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 66. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 49. South wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 57. Breezy, with a south wind 16 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 43. South wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Columbus Day
Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 8am. High near 53. South wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then showers likely between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Southwest wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 54. Light and variable wind becoming south around 5 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
21 Miles N Payson AZ
 34.55°N 111.36°W (Elev. 6909 ft)
3:13 pm MST Oct 10, 2026
3pm MST Oct 10, 2026-6pm MST Oct 16, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database