National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Current conditions at

Pauls Valley, Pauls Valley Municipal Airport (KPVJ)

Lat: 34.71°NLon: 97.22°WElev: 968ft.

Fair

76°F

24°C

Humidity 61%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 29.98 in
Dewpoint 62°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 11 Oct 8:35 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ESE Elmore City OK

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 68. South wind around 7 mph.

    Low: 68 °F

    Clear

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Sunny, with a high near 88. South southwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 8 mph.

    Low: 72 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 97. South wind 6 to 11 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.

    Low: 73 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 87. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 87 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 68 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 79. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 79 °F

    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Clear, with a low around 68. South wind around 7 mph.
Columbus Day
Sunny, with a high near 88. South southwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 8 mph.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Heat index values as high as 97. South wind 6 to 11 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 87. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 79. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 69.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 66.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ESE Elmore City OK
 34.6°N 97.33°W
Last Update:
1:27 pm CDT Oct 11, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8pm CDT Oct 11, 2026-6pm CDT Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation