Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 050348
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1048 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

Weak mid-level cyclonic flow will continue through this evening
and into Monday morning. While the better forcing will remain to
the south, diurnal heating storms aided by moist low levels, will
drive thunderstorm development during the late afternoon and
evening. Steering flow will be weak, so storms are expected to
move very slowly. In turn, this could pose a flooding risk for any
stronger storms that do develop. Severe weather is not expected,
however, any stronger storm may develop small hail and gusty
winds.

Thunderstorm activity could continue into Monday morning as weak
forcing tries to round the southern periphery of the cyclonic flow
aloft. Again, coverage will not be widespread, but any storms
have the chance at producing small hail, gusty winds, and locally
heavy rainfall. We will continue to see a slight warming trend
tomorrow as most of the area will be in the mid 80s.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

By early to mid week, weak omega block will overspread portions
of the Central and Southern Plains. There are some hints at a few
embedded shortwaves within the broader scale mid-level ridging, so
left in slight chance PoPs through the long term. Organized
severe weather will not be likely, as there will be very weak
shear. A few storms may exhibit stronger updrafts that could
produce some small hail. A weak cold front may try to move into
the area Thursday, but not expected any widespread rainfall or
temperature changes. Temperatures will slowly climb to near normal
by the end of the week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2023

VFR conditions continue.

Mainly mid/high clouds overnight with light winds. Have added some
prob30 at some sites Monday afternoon as we continue to see
diurnal convection across the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  64  85  64  85 /  20  30  10  30
Hobart OK         61  83  61  84 /  40  40  20  20
Wichita Falls TX  64  85  63  86 /  50  40  20  20
Gage OK           57  81  59  83 /  30  30  20  10
Ponca City OK     62  87  63  87 /  10  20  10  20
Durant OK         64  88  65  88 /  20  40  10  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...30


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