Severe Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains; Heavy to Excessive Rainfall in South Central Texas

Widespread rain may produce flash flooding across the Southern Plains into the Ozarks today. Numerous instances of flash flooding are expected in south-central Texas, including the Hill Country. There will also be a risk of isolated severe thunderstorms across the southern Plains today, where an instance or two of severe wind, hail, or a brief tornado may occur. Read More >

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61806°NLon: 111.34222°WElev: 6793.0ft.

NA

36°F

2°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed S 4 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 35°F (2°C)
Visibility NA
Wind Chill33°F (1°C)
Last update 20 Nov 11:02 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

17 Miles E Lake Montezuma AZ

  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph.

    High: 41 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers, mixing with snow after 8pm, then gradually ending.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 30 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow
    then Mostly
    Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of rain showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. East wind around 6 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 46 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 2am, then a slight chance of rain showers between 2am and 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers after 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. East wind 6 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 35 °F

    Slight Chance
    Rain/Snow

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 50 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 7 mph becoming south after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 33 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A 40 percent chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Southwest wind around 7 mph.

    High: 48 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 30 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 56. Northwest wind around 6 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph.
Tonight
A slight chance of rain showers, mixing with snow after 8pm, then gradually ending. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
A slight chance of snow showers before 10am, then a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 2am, then a slight chance of rain showers between 2am and 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. East wind 6 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 7 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 48. Southwest wind around 7 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind around 5 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. North wind around 6 mph.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 58. North wind around 6 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 34. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind around 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
17 Miles E Lake Montezuma AZ
 34.62°N 111.51°W (Elev. 6286 ft)
9:32 am MST Nov 20, 2025
11am MST Nov 20, 2025-6pm MST Nov 26, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database