Flooding Risks from Tropical Moisture Across the Southeast and Southwest

Tropical moisture from Isaias and Rachel will impact portions of the Southeast and Southwest this weekend. Flash flooding, strong winds and even a threat for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Meanwhile, strong winds and dry fuels are raising fire weather concerns across the central Great Basin and western High Plains. Across the northern Rockies, first winter storm of the season. Read More >

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61797°NLon: 111.34239°WElev: 6812.0ft.

NA

54°F

12°C

Humidity 93%
Wind Speed S 10 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 11 Oct 04:02 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

27 Miles NW Forest Lakes AZ

Flood Watch October 11, 04:30am until October 12, 05:00am
Wind Advisory October 11, 08:00am until October 11, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
Wind Advisory
  •  
    Flood Watch October 11, 04:30am until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  High near 57. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 57 °F

    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. South wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 55 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then showers likely between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 15 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 52 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Patchy fog after 10pm.  Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 33. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    Low: 33 °F

    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Patchy fog before 8am.  Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    High: 55 °F

    Patchy Fog
    then Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 57. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Columbus Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of showers between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. South wind 15 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then showers likely between 8pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 15 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday Night
Patchy fog after 10pm. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 33. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday
Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 55. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 32. Calm wind.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 57. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 35. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 58. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 58. East wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
27 Miles NW Forest Lakes AZ
 34.64°N 111.1°W (Elev. 6798 ft)
3:27 am MST Oct 11, 2026
4am MST Oct 11, 2026-6pm MST Oct 17, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

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