Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Current conditions at

VERDE (QVDA3)

Lat: 34.54917°NLon: 111.84417°WElev: 3101.0ft.

NA

101°F

38°C

Humidity 20%
Wind Speed SSW 9 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 53°F (12°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index99°F (37°C)
Last update 15 Jul 04:05 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles ENE Lake Montezuma AZ

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    High: 96 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 91 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm.  Areas of smoke after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Low: 71 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am.  High near 88. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 88 °F

    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 93 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    High: 93 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Light southwest wind increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Areas of smoke after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Thursday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 88. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Sunday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Light south wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles ENE Lake Montezuma AZ
 34.67°N 111.71°W (Elev. 4196 ft)
3:06 pm MST Jul 15, 2025
4pm MST Jul 15, 2025-6pm MST Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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