Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

HAPPY JACK (QHJA3)

Lat: 34.61797°NLon: 111.34239°WElev: 6812.0ft.

NA

50°F

10°C

Humidity 86%
Wind Speed SSW 8 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 46°F (8°C)
Visibility NA
Wind Chill47°F (8°C)
Last update 12 Oct 08:02 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

27 Miles ESE Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 09:13am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 09:13am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Columbus Day

    High: 55 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers.  Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Breezy, with a southwest wind 22 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph.

    High: 53 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 54. North wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 54 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 32. North wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 32 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.

    High: 56 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Clear

Detailed Forecast

Columbus Day
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Breezy, with a south wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers likely between 11pm and 2am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southwest wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Breezy, with a southwest wind 22 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 54. North wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 32. North wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 34. Northeast wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 57. East wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. East wind 6 to 11 mph becoming light. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Calm wind.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph.
Basemap Options
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
27 Miles ESE Munds Park AZ
 34.77°N 111.2°W (Elev. 6703 ft)
3:13 am MST Oct 12, 2026
9am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database