National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

MORMON LAKE (QMOA3)

Lat: 34.90972°NLon: 111.43842°WElev: 7094.0ft.

NA

48°F

9°C

Humidity 90%
Wind Speed S 7 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 45°F (7°C)
Visibility NA
Wind Chill45°F (7°C)
Last update 12 Oct 03:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

12 Miles E Big Park AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 03:38am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 03:38am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 47 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 57 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Patchy Fog

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Areas of fog after 9pm. Low around 44. South wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers and
    Areas Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 55 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    Low: 38 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 58. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    High: 58 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 35. Northeast wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

    Low: 35 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 60. Breezy, with a northeast wind 21 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.

    High: 60 °F

    Sunny and
    Breezy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Columbus Day
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Areas of fog after 9pm. Low around 44. South wind 17 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Southwest wind 17 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 58. North wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 35. Northeast wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 60. Breezy, with a northeast wind 21 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 38. Breezy, with a northeast wind 22 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 62. Breezy, with an east wind 20 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind 15 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. East wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. East wind 5 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 64. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
12 Miles E Big Park AZ
 34.78°N 111.56°W (Elev. 6509 ft)
Last Update:
3:13 am MST Oct 12, 2026
Forecast Valid:
3am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation