Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats; Heat Risk Expands; Monitoring the Tropics

Flash flooding risks continue for portions of the Four Corners and Great Basin through today. Severe thunderstorms are outlooked from the eastern Great Lakes, southern New England into the mid-Atlantic through Tuesday. Heat risk increases and expands across the center of the nation and across the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic this week. Continue to closely monitor tropical development in the Gulf. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

60°F

16°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 55°F (13°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 31 Aug 05:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SW Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch August 31, 05:39am until September 1, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch August 31, 05:39am until September 1, 12:00am

    NOW until 12:00am Tue

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 76 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light and variable wind.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Sunny, with a high near 80. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 81 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Light northeast wind.
Monday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Light and variable wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Light and variable wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Wednesday
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Sunny, with a high near 80. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Friday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Light and variable wind.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph after midnight.
Sunday
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. East wind 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SW Munds Park AZ
 34.9°N 111.71°W (Elev. 5689 ft)
3:12 am MST Aug 31, 2026
5am MST Aug 31, 2026-6pm MST Sep 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database