Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

95°F

35°C

Humidity 21%
Wind Speed SE 5 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 49°F (9°C)
Visibility NA
Heat Index92°F (33°C)
Last update 15 Jul 04:03 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles NNE Sedona AZ

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a steady temperature around 90. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

    High: 90 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a slight chance of showers.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 88. West wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 88 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming north after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  High near 84. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 84 °F

    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 63 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 88 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.

    Low: 64 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    High: 88 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a steady temperature around 90. Southwest wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. West wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 88. West wind 6 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind around 6 mph becoming north after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 5pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. High near 84. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. West wind around 6 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 5 to 8 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming east in the evening.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Sunday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southwest wind around 7 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles NNE Sedona AZ
 34.92°N 111.77°W (Elev. 5817 ft)
3:06 pm MST Jul 15, 2025
4pm MST Jul 15, 2025-6pm MST Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database