Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

MORMON LAKE (QMOA3)

Lat: 34.90972°NLon: 111.43842°WElev: 7094.0ft.

NA

49°F

9°C

Humidity 96%
Wind Speed S 6 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 48°F (9°C)
Visibility NA
Wind Chill46°F (8°C)
Last update 11 Oct 11:03 PM MST
Extended Forecast for

11 Miles E Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 12:08am until October 12, 05:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 12:08am until October 12, 05:00am

    NOW until 5:00am Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Overnight

    Low: 43 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Columbus Day

    Columbus Day: A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 42. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 42 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers likely, mainly before 11am.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 51 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 34 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 54. Light north wind.

    High: 54 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Clear, with a low around 29. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.

    Low: 29 °F

    Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    High: 55 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 11 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Columbus Day
A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then showers between 11pm and 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Patchy fog after 1am. Low around 42. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers likely, mainly before 11am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 9 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 54. Light north wind.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low around 29. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Thursday Night
Clear, with a low around 31. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 57. East wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. East wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. Northeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Calm wind.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 59. Light and variable wind.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
11 Miles E Munds Park AZ
 34.9°N 111.44°W (Elev. 7198 ft)
11:32 pm MST Oct 11, 2026
12am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database