Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

69°F

21°C

Humidity 39%
Wind Speed N 2 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 43°F (6°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 15 Jul 04:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles WSW Munds Park AZ

  • Today

    Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms after 5pm.  Sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 91 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 86 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am.  High near 82. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 82 °F

    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Low: 60 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am.  Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    High: 86 °F

    T-storms
    Likely

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable  in the evening.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.

    High: 87 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms after 5pm. Sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight
A slight chance of thunderstorms before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday
A chance of showers before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. High near 82. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming south in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Saturday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. South wind 5 to 9 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 17 mph.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Sunday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles WSW Munds Park AZ
 34.92°N 111.72°W (Elev. 5584 ft)
3:07 am MST Jul 15, 2025
5am MST Jul 15, 2025-6pm MST Jul 21, 2025
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database