Heavy Rainfall Threat Continues in the Southwest on Monday; Record Warmth in the Plains and Midwest

Remnant moisture from Tropical Storm Rachel will persist over portions of the Great Basin and Southwest on Monday, bringing a potential heavy to excessive rainfall risk. Well above average and potentially record breaking temperatures will develop across the Plains and Midwest early this week, spreading into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

OAK CREEK (QOCA3)

Lat: 34.94686°NLon: 111.75444°WElev: 4804.0ft.

NA

58°F

14°C

Humidity 77%
Wind Speed SSW 8 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 12 Oct 09:03 AM MST
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles W Munds Park AZ

Flood Watch October 12, 10:11am until October 12, 05:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flood Watch
  •  
    Flood Watch October 12, 10:11am until October 12, 05:00pm

    NOW until 5:00pm Mon

    Flood Watch

  • Columbus Day

    High: 61 °F⇓

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Low around 44. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Showers

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers, mainly before 11am.  High near 61. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 61 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming north after midnight.

    Low: 38 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable.

    High: 64 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 7 to 13 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    High: 68 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 14 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Mostly Clear

Detailed Forecast

Columbus Day
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperature rising to near 61 by noon, then falling to around 56 during the remainder of the day. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Low around 44. South wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday
Showers, mainly before 11am. High near 61. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming north after midnight.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 7 to 13 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 9 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 14 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. East wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Northeast wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph.
Saturday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 70. Light and variable wind.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles W Munds Park AZ
 34.94°N 111.75°W (Elev. 4816 ft)
9:56 am MST Oct 12, 2026
10am MST Oct 12, 2026-6pm MST Oct 18, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database